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scoring.md

92 lines · small-business/skills/lead-finder/reference/scoring.md at 2574e29

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1# Scoring
2
3Three components. The score decides the order the owner works the list in, which is the main thing the list is for.
4
5```
6score = (fit x 0.4) + (signal x 0.4) + (reachability x 0.2)
7```
8
9Each component runs 0 to 10. Signal is weighted equal to fit deliberately — a good-fit company with nothing happening is a cold call, and cold calls are what the owner was already doing badly.
11---

Scoring

Three components. The score decides the order the owner works the list in, which is the main thing the list is for.

score = (fit x 0.4) + (signal x 0.4) + (reachability x 0.2)

Each component runs 0 to 10. Signal is weighted equal to fit deliberately — a good-fit company with nothing happening is a cold call, and cold calls are what the owner was already doing badly.


Raw lines 1 to 12
13## Fit — 40%
15How closely the company matches the profile from `icp_method.md`.
17| Score | Meaning |
18|---|---|
19| 9–10 | Matches every profile criterion |
20| 7–8 | Matches the core criteria, off on one secondary dimension |
21| 5–6 | Plausible, but missing something that matters |
22| 3–4 | Adjacent — worth including only if signal is strong |
23| 0–2 | Do not include it |
25If the profile has a counter-pattern ("under 10 employees churns"), a company matching the counter-pattern caps at 4 regardless of everything else.
27---

Fit — 40%

How closely the company matches the profile from icp_method.md.

ScoreMeaning
9–10Matches every profile criterion
7–8Matches the core criteria, off on one secondary dimension
5–6Plausible, but missing something that matters
3–4Adjacent — worth including only if signal is strong
0–2Do not include it

If the profile has a counter-pattern ("under 10 employees churns"), a company matching the counter-pattern caps at 4 regardless of everything else.


Raw lines 13 to 28
29## Signal — 40%
31Evidence something is happening right now. This is the difference between a prospect list and a directory.
33| Signal | Score | Why it matters |
34|---|---|---|
35| New location, expansion, or major permit filed | 10 | They are spending and their existing vendors may not scale |
36| Hiring for a role related to what the owner sells | 9 | Budget already approved |
37| Leadership or ownership change | 8 | New decision-makers re-evaluate vendors |
38| Funding, acquisition, or major contract won | 8 | Money and new needs at once |
39| Recent poor reviews of their current provider | 8 | Active dissatisfaction, usually the warmest signal available |
40| Seasonal timing matches their buying cycle | 6 | Right time, no specific trigger |
41| Recent website or brand refresh | 5 | Investing, but weak evidence of need |
42| Nothing found | 2 | Not disqualifying, just cold |
44**A signal needs a date and a source.** "Expanding" is a rumor. "Filed a permit for a second location on Mar 14, county records" is a reason to call this week.
46Never invent a signal. A prospect list with fabricated triggers destroys the owner's credibility on the first call, and they will never trust the skill again.
48---

Signal — 40%

Evidence something is happening right now. This is the difference between a prospect list and a directory.

SignalScoreWhy it matters
New location, expansion, or major permit filed10They are spending and their existing vendors may not scale
Hiring for a role related to what the owner sells9Budget already approved
Leadership or ownership change8New decision-makers re-evaluate vendors
Funding, acquisition, or major contract won8Money and new needs at once
Recent poor reviews of their current provider8Active dissatisfaction, usually the warmest signal available
Seasonal timing matches their buying cycle6Right time, no specific trigger
Recent website or brand refresh5Investing, but weak evidence of need
Nothing found2Not disqualifying, just cold

A signal needs a date and a source. "Expanding" is a rumor. "Filed a permit for a second location on Mar 14, county records" is a reason to call this week.

Never invent a signal. A prospect list with fabricated triggers destroys the owner's credibility on the first call, and they will never trust the skill again.


Raw lines 29 to 49
50## Reachability — 20%
52How directly the owner can get in front of the decision-maker.
54| Route | Score |
55|---|---|
56| Shared customer or mutual connection who would introduce | 10 |
57| Named decision-maker with a verified direct contact | 8 |
58| Named decision-maker, contact inferred but unverified | 6 |
59| Named person, but not the decision-maker | 4 |
60| General company contact only | 3 |
61| No contact route found | 1 |
63**Warm paths are worth hunting for.** Cross-check target companies against the owner's existing customer list, shared associations, and overlapping geography. A referral route converts several times better than anything cold, and owners consistently underestimate how many they already have.
65---

Reachability — 20%

How directly the owner can get in front of the decision-maker.

RouteScore
Shared customer or mutual connection who would introduce10
Named decision-maker with a verified direct contact8
Named decision-maker, contact inferred but unverified6
Named person, but not the decision-maker4
General company contact only3
No contact route found1

Warm paths are worth hunting for. Cross-check target companies against the owner's existing customer list, shared associations, and overlapping geography. A referral route converts several times better than anything cold, and owners consistently underestimate how many they already have.


Raw lines 50 to 66
67## Presenting the score
69Show the rank and the reason, not the arithmetic. Owners do not want to see a weighted formula; they want to know why this company is number three.
71**Bad:**
72```
73Ridgeline Property Group — score 8.4
74```
76**Good:**
77```
783. Ridgeline Property Group — 6 buildings, 18 miles out.
79 Filed a permit for a 7th on Mar 14. Their current HVAC vendor has
80 three 2-star reviews this quarter. Contact: Dana Whitfield, Facilities
81 Director, direct line verified.
82```
84Same score. Only one of them gets called.
86---

Presenting the score

Show the rank and the reason, not the arithmetic. Owners do not want to see a weighted formula; they want to know why this company is number three.

Bad:

Ridgeline Property Group — score 8.4

Good:

3. Ridgeline Property Group — 6 buildings, 18 miles out.
   Filed a permit for a 7th on Mar 14. Their current HVAC vendor has
   three 2-star reviews this quarter. Contact: Dana Whitfield, Facilities
   Director, direct line verified.

Same score. Only one of them gets called.


Raw lines 67 to 87
88## Ties and cutoffs
90Break ties toward signal recency. A trigger from last week beats one from last quarter.
92Anything scoring below 4 does not go on the list at all. Including weak rows to reach a target count is the fastest way to make the ranking meaningless, and the ranking is the product.

Ties and cutoffs

Break ties toward signal recency. A trigger from last week beats one from last quarter.

Anything scoring below 4 does not go on the list at all. Including weak rows to reach a target count is the fastest way to make the ranking meaningless, and the ranking is the product.

Raw lines 88 to 92