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forecast_sensitivity_template.json
90 lines · skills/market-research-reports/assets/forecast_sensitivity_template.json at 5f2bc03
1{
2 "schema_version": "1.0",
3 "metadata": {
4 "series_id": "synthetic-annual-market-spend",
5 "description": "Synthetic annual end-customer spend",
6 "geography": "Exampleland",
7 "currency": "USD",
8 "base_year": "2025",
9 "price_basis": "nominal",
10 "unit": "USD per year",
11 "measure_type": "flow",
12 "as_of_date": "2026-07-23",
13 "source_ids": [
14 "S-001",
15 "S-002"
16 ]
17 },
18 "start_year": 2025,
19 "start_value": 100000000,
20 "horizon_years": 5,
21 "scenarios": [
22 {
23 "scenario_id": "downside",
24 "label": "Downside",
25 "annual_growth_rates": [
26 0.02,
27 0.02,
28 0.02,
29 0.02,
30 0.02
31 ],
32 "source_ids": [
33 "S-001",
34 "S-002"
35 ],
36 "assumptions": [
37 "Demand grows slowly",
38 "No change to the market denominator"
39 ]
40 },
41 {
42 "scenario_id": "base",
43 "label": "Base",
44 "annual_growth_rates": [
45 0.05,
46 0.05,
47 0.05,
48 0.05,
49 0.05
50 ],
51 "source_ids": [
52 "S-001",
53 "S-002"
54 ],
55 "assumptions": [
56 "Demand follows the documented synthetic baseline",
57 "Values use each forecast year's nominal USD; 2025 is the historical anchor, not a constant-price base"
58 ]
59 },
60 {
61 "scenario_id": "upside",
62 "label": "Upside",
63 "annual_growth_rates": [
64 0.08,
65 0.08,
66 0.08,
67 0.08,
68 0.08
69 ],
70 "source_ids": [
71 "S-001",
72 "S-002"
73 ],
74 "assumptions": [
75 "Adoption accelerates",
76 "No probability is assigned to this scenario"
77 ]
78 }
79 ],
80 "sensitivity": {
81 "base_scenario_id": "base",
82 "growth_rate_shifts": [
83 -0.02,
84 -0.01,
85 0,
86 0.01,
87 0.02
88 ]
89 }
90}