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earnings-preview

skill · 73 lines · Apache-2.0 · plugins/vertical-plugins/equity-research/skills/earnings-preview/SKILL.md

The facts

Its description

Build pre-earnings analysis with estimate models, scenario frameworks, and key metrics to watch. Use before a company reports quarterly earnings to prepare positioning notes, set up bull/bear scenarios, and identify what will move the stock. Triggers on "earnings preview", "what to watch for [company] earnings", "pre-earnings", "earnings setup", or "preview Q[X] for [company]".

The description the agent reads to decide when to use it.

From its settingsline 3

When it starts

The agent picks this skill when someone wants to get ready for a company's upcoming quarterly earnings report before it happens — building a preview of consensus estimates, the metrics that matter, and bull/base/bear scenarios. It is aimed at pre-earnings positioning rather than analyzing results after the fact.

Things a person might say (the model's guesses)

  • “Can you put together an earnings preview for NVDA before next week's print?”
  • “What should I watch for in Apple's earnings this quarter?”
  • “Help me set up bull and bear scenarios and a catalyst checklist for Tesla's Q3 earnings.”

A model's summary of when it is used.

A model's reading

Licence

Apache-2.0, from LICENSE

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From the repositorylicence text

The text

Open on GitHub
1---
2name: earnings-preview
3description: Build pre-earnings analysis with estimate models, scenario frameworks, and key metrics to watch. Use before a company reports quarterly earnings to prepare positioning notes, set up bull/bear scenarios, and identify what will move the stock. Triggers on "earnings preview", "what to watch for [company] earnings", "pre-earnings", "earnings setup", or "preview Q[X] for [company]".
4---
5
6# Earnings Preview
7

Earnings Preview

Raw lines 1 to 7
8## Workflow
9
10### Step 1: Gather Context
12- Identify the company and reporting quarter
13- Pull consensus estimates via web search (revenue, EPS, key segment metrics)
14- Find the earnings date and time (pre-market vs. after-hours)
15- Review the company's prior quarter earnings call for any guidance or commentary

Step 1: Gather Context

  • Identify the company and reporting quarter
  • Pull consensus estimates via web search (revenue, EPS, key segment metrics)
  • Find the earnings date and time (pre-market vs. after-hours)
  • Review the company's prior quarter earnings call for any guidance or commentary
Raw lines 10 to 16
17### Step 2: Key Metrics Framework
19Build a "what to watch" framework specific to the company:
21**Financial Metrics:**
22- Revenue vs. consensus (total and by segment)
23- EPS vs. consensus
24- Margins (gross, operating, net) — expanding or contracting?
25- Free cash flow
26- Forward guidance vs. consensus
28**Operational Metrics** (sector-specific):
29- Tech/SaaS: ARR, net retention, RPO, customer count
30- Retail: Same-store sales, traffic, basket size
31- Industrials: Backlog, book-to-bill, price vs. volume
32- Financials: NIM, credit quality, loan growth, fee income
33- Healthcare: Scripts, patient volumes, pipeline updates

Step 2: Key Metrics Framework

Build a "what to watch" framework specific to the company:

Financial Metrics:

  • Revenue vs. consensus (total and by segment)
  • EPS vs. consensus
  • Margins (gross, operating, net) — expanding or contracting?
  • Free cash flow
  • Forward guidance vs. consensus

Operational Metrics (sector-specific):

  • Tech/SaaS: ARR, net retention, RPO, customer count
  • Retail: Same-store sales, traffic, basket size
  • Industrials: Backlog, book-to-bill, price vs. volume
  • Financials: NIM, credit quality, loan growth, fee income
  • Healthcare: Scripts, patient volumes, pipeline updates
Raw lines 17 to 34
35### Step 3: Scenario Analysis
37Build 3 scenarios with stock price implications:
39| Scenario | Revenue | EPS | Key Driver | Stock Reaction |
40|----------|---------|-----|------------|----------------|
41| Bull | | | | |
42| Base | | | | |
43| Bear | | | | |
45For each scenario:
46- What would need to happen operationally
47- What management commentary would signal this
48- Historical context — how has the stock moved on similar prints?

Step 3: Scenario Analysis

Build 3 scenarios with stock price implications:

ScenarioRevenueEPSKey DriverStock Reaction
Bull
Base
Bear

For each scenario:

  • What would need to happen operationally
  • What management commentary would signal this
  • Historical context — how has the stock moved on similar prints?
Raw lines 35 to 49
50### Step 4: Catalyst Checklist
52Identify the 3-5 things that will determine the stock's reaction:
541. [Metric] vs. [consensus/whisper number] — why it matters
552. [Guidance item] — what the buy-side expects to hear
563. [Narrative shift] — any strategic changes, M&A, restructuring

Step 4: Catalyst Checklist

Identify the 3-5 things that will determine the stock's reaction:

  1. [Metric] vs. [consensus/whisper number] — why it matters
  2. [Guidance item] — what the buy-side expects to hear
  3. [Narrative shift] — any strategic changes, M&A, restructuring
Raw lines 50 to 57
58### Step 5: Output
60One-page earnings preview with:
61- Company, quarter, earnings date
62- Consensus estimates table
63- Key metrics to watch (ranked by importance)
64- Bull/base/bear scenario table
65- Catalyst checklist
66- Trading setup: recent stock performance, implied move from options

Step 5: Output

One-page earnings preview with:

  • Company, quarter, earnings date
  • Consensus estimates table
  • Key metrics to watch (ranked by importance)
  • Bull/base/bear scenario table
  • Catalyst checklist
  • Trading setup: recent stock performance, implied move from options
Raw lines 58 to 67
68## Important Notes
70- Consensus estimates change — always note the source and date of estimates
71- "Whisper numbers" from buy-side surveys are often more relevant than published consensus
72- Historical earnings reactions help calibrate expectations (search for "[company] earnings reaction history")
73- Options-implied move tells you what the market expects — compare to your scenarios

Important Notes

  • Consensus estimates change — always note the source and date of estimates
  • "Whisper numbers" from buy-side surveys are often more relevant than published consensus
  • Historical earnings reactions help calibrate expectations (search for "[company] earnings reaction history")
  • Options-implied move tells you what the market expects — compare to your scenarios
Raw lines 68 to 73

From anthropics/financial-services at 6056506, 2026-10-28. Skills read by DeepSeek V4.1 Flash on 2026-11-04. Summary and techniques by Claude Opus 5.5 on 2026-11-06.